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买高端旁轴还是入门单反套机?
发贴日期：
2008-10-03 [ 0人评论过 ]
摄影学习初级阶段,想买个有全手动功能的照相机
在五美分横行的地方，中立观点也会被认为是5毛
发贴日期：
2008-10-02 [ 0人评论过 ]
大家还是应该坚持自己的观点，理性分析，不要被别人的指责所左右。
哪里有卖这样的帽子?
居然有人认为保尔森是“有责任感的人”？
发贴日期：
2008-09-28 [ 0人评论过 ]
美国财长保尔森最近提出的拯救华尔街计划是历史上最大一笔的财富转移。最后的赢家肯定是那些承保无数、倒卖廉价抵押债券以及其它金融衍生产品的华尔街专业人士们，而输家则是那些被迫购买美国债券的各国中央银行——它们得去负担这些美国纳税人不会埋单的债务。
美国经济并不能支撑自己。这个国家20%的GDP来自金融服务业，这个产业由那些整天坐在摩天大楼里的人构成，这些人每天除了赌博、订出规则和玩弄规则之外什么都不干。伯南克和保尔森，这两个华尔街的保护神，知道没人敢反对他们提出的一揽子救市计划，因为大多数美国公民并不了解金融体系，无力阻止保尔森的计划。
保尔森正在推动国会通过一项由他的前高盛同事起草的法案，要用7000亿美元来购买那些银行账簿上不值钱的结构化债券产品。他告诉议员们必须接受这项敲诈，否则整个金融系统会崩溃。这个论点的问题是，尽管他说的金融系统崩溃是可能的，但如果真的发生了，美国经济从长远而言可能会因此变得更好。原因是，如果这些腐败的银行破产，美国将会出现一个大窟窿，而企业家们将会竞相跑去填补这个窟窿。事实上，他们已经开始这样做了——现在有许多像ZOPA.COM这样的点对点借贷网站（peer to peer lending），在众多银行倒闭后，为美国公民提供资金借贷。想象一下，如果高盛和摩根士丹利破产会怎样？其它投资银行机构将立即取代他们的位置、创造新的工作机会及对美国经济的利好，因为投资银行这个行当可不像研发火箭那样需要那么高的技术门槛。
保尔森迫使美国政府为华尔街埋单，是因为如果政府不介入金融市场，他和他的朋友将会遭受巨额的金钱损失——保尔森个人在一个信托基金里就持有价值7亿美元的高盛股票，他可不想看着高盛的市值像雷曼兄弟一样变成零。因为有钱和权力做后盾，保尔森可以大胆地在一眨眼之间重写规则。
拯救计划对那些持有美国国债的各国央行又意味着什么？这意味着美国政府发行的国债将会爆炸般激增。美国现在的危机使得曾经在俄罗斯、拉丁美洲和亚洲发生的金融危机看起来不值一提。只要各国央行继续持有美国国债，美国就可以继续保持低利率，美国人就可以继续维持他们挥霍的生活方式——他们可以无尽地借贷而不必担心还债的问题。因此，美国公司就可以继续用一文不值的美元来抢夺世界资源，而不必在这场战争中发射一粒子弹。
（作者为美国佩斯大学金融学副教授）
美国经济并不能支撑自己。这个国家20%的GDP来自金融服务业，这个产业由那些整天坐在摩天大楼里的人构成，这些人每天除了赌博、订出规则和玩弄规则之外什么都不干。伯南克和保尔森，这两个华尔街的保护神，知道没人敢反对他们提出的一揽子救市计划，因为大多数美国公民并不了解金融体系，无力阻止保尔森的计划。
保尔森正在推动国会通过一项由他的前高盛同事起草的法案，要用7000亿美元来购买那些银行账簿上不值钱的结构化债券产品。他告诉议员们必须接受这项敲诈，否则整个金融系统会崩溃。这个论点的问题是，尽管他说的金融系统崩溃是可能的，但如果真的发生了，美国经济从长远而言可能会因此变得更好。原因是，如果这些腐败的银行破产，美国将会出现一个大窟窿，而企业家们将会竞相跑去填补这个窟窿。事实上，他们已经开始这样做了——现在有许多像ZOPA.COM这样的点对点借贷网站（peer to peer lending），在众多银行倒闭后，为美国公民提供资金借贷。想象一下，如果高盛和摩根士丹利破产会怎样？其它投资银行机构将立即取代他们的位置、创造新的工作机会及对美国经济的利好，因为投资银行这个行当可不像研发火箭那样需要那么高的技术门槛。
保尔森迫使美国政府为华尔街埋单，是因为如果政府不介入金融市场，他和他的朋友将会遭受巨额的金钱损失——保尔森个人在一个信托基金里就持有价值7亿美元的高盛股票，他可不想看着高盛的市值像雷曼兄弟一样变成零。因为有钱和权力做后盾，保尔森可以大胆地在一眨眼之间重写规则。
拯救计划对那些持有美国国债的各国央行又意味着什么？这意味着美国政府发行的国债将会爆炸般激增。美国现在的危机使得曾经在俄罗斯、拉丁美洲和亚洲发生的金融危机看起来不值一提。只要各国央行继续持有美国国债，美国就可以继续保持低利率，美国人就可以继续维持他们挥霍的生活方式——他们可以无尽地借贷而不必担心还债的问题。因此，美国公司就可以继续用一文不值的美元来抢夺世界资源，而不必在这场战争中发射一粒子弹。
（作者为美国佩斯大学金融学副教授）
翟志刚说了句：真空哪来的火！！
发贴日期：
2008-09-28 [ 0人评论过 ]
在信号马上出服务区的那个时候，也就是还有几秒就没有信号的那
个时候，翟志刚说了句：真空哪来的火！！
我笑翻了，我们的航天员真是冷静得要命！！
15分28-40秒
http://news.qq.com/a/20080927/003127.htm
个时候，翟志刚说了句：真空哪来的火！！
我笑翻了，我们的航天员真是冷静得要命！！
15分28-40秒
http://news.qq.com/a/20080927/003127.htm
太空太美了
经济学家基本反对救市
发贴日期：
2008-09-26 [ 0人评论过 ]
许多著名经济学联名上书参议院众议院
To the Speaker of the House of Representatives and the President pro tempore of the Senate:
As economists, we want to express to Congress our great concern for the plan proposed by Treasury Secretary Paulson to deal with the financial crisis. We are well aware of the difficulty of the current financial situation and we agree with the need for bold action to ensure that the financial system continues to function. We see three fatal pitfalls in the currently proposed plan:
1) Its fairness. The plan is a subsidy to investors at taxpayers’ expense. Investors who took risks to earn profits must also bear the losses. Not every business failure carries systemic risk. The government can ensure a well-functioning financial industry, able to make new loans to creditworthy borrowers, without bailing out particular investors and institutions whose choices proved unwise.
2) Its ambiguity. Neither the mission of the new agency nor its oversight are clear. If taxpayers are to buy illiquid and opaque assets from troubled sellers, the terms, occasions, and methods of such purchases must be crystal clear ahead of time and carefully monitored afterwards.
3) Its long-term effects. If the plan is enacted, its effects will be with us for a generation. For all their recent troubles, America's dynamic and innovative private capital markets have brought the nation unparalleled prosperity. Fundamentally weakening those markets in order to calm short-run disruptions is desperately short-sighted.
For these reasons we ask Congress not to rush, to hold appropriate hearings, and to carefully consider the right course of action, and to wisely determine the future of the financial industry and the U.S. economy for years to come.
Signed (updated 9/24/2008 10:30AM CT)
Acemoglu Daron (Massachussets Institute of Technology)
Adler Michael (Columbia University)
Admati Anat R. (Stanford University)
Alvarez Fernando (University of Chicago)
Andersen Torben (Northwestern University)
Barankay Iwan (University of Pennsylvania)
Barry Brian (University of Chicago)
Beim David (Columbia University)
Berk Jonathan (Stanford University)
Bisin Alberto (New York University)
Bittlingmayer George (University of Kansas)
Boldrin Michele (Washington University)
Brooks Taggert J. (University of Wisconsin)
Brynjolfsson Erik (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Buera Francisco J.(UCLA)
Carroll Christopher (Johns Hopkins University)
Cassar Gavin (University of Pennsylvania)
Chaney Thomas (University of Chicago)
Chari Varadarajan V. (University of Minnesota)
Chauvin Keith W. (University of Kansas)
Chintagunta Pradeep K. (University of Chicago)
Christiano Lawrence J. (Northwestern University)
Cochrane John (University of Chicago)
Coleman John (Duke University)
Constantinides George M. (University of Chicago)
Crain Robert (UC Berkeley)
Culp Christopher (University of Chicago)
De Marzo Peter (Stanford University)
Dubé Jean-Pierre H. (University of Chicago)
Edlin Aaron (UC Berkeley)
Eichenbaum Martin (Northwestern University)
Ely Jeffrey (Northwestern University)
Eraslan Hülya K. K.(Johns Hopkins University)
Faulhaber Gerald (University of Pennsylvania)
Feldmann Sven (University of Melbourne)
Fernandez-Villaverde Jesus (University of Pennsylvania)
Fox Jeremy T. (University of Chicago)
Frank Murray Z.(University of Minnesota)
Fuchs William (University of Chicago)
Fudenberg Drew (Harvard University)
Gabaix Xavier (New York University)
Gao Paul (Notre Dame University)
Garicano Luis (University of Chicago)
Gerakos Joseph J. (University of Chicago)
Gibbs Michael (University of Chicago)
Goettler Ron (University of Chicago)
Goldin Claudia (Harvard University)
Gordon Robert J. (Northwestern University)
Guadalupe Maria (Columbia University)
Hagerty Kathleen (Northwestern University)
Hamada Robert S. (University of Chicago)
Hansen Lars (University of Chicago)
Harris Milton (University of Chicago)
Hart Oliver (Harvard University)
Hazlett Thomas W. (George Mason University)
Heaton John (University of Chicago)
Heckman James (University of Chicago - Nobel Laureate)
Henderson David R. (Hoover Institution)
Henisz, Witold (University of Pennsylvania)
Hertzberg Andrew (Columbia University)
Hite Gailen (Columbia University)
Hitsch Günter J. (University of Chicago)
Hodrick Robert J. (Columbia University)
Hopenhayn Hugo (UCLA)
Hurst Erik (University of Chicago)
Imrohoroglu Ayse (University of Southern California)
Israel Ronen (London Business School)
Jaffee Dwight M. (UC Berkeley)
Jagannathan Ravi (Northwestern University)
Jenter Dirk (Stanford University)
Jones Charles M. (Columbia Business School)
Kaboski Joseph P. (Ohio State University)
Kaplan Ethan (Stockholm University)
Karolyi, Andrew (Ohio State University)
Kashyap Anil (University of Chicago)
Keim Donald B (University of Pennsylvania)
Ketkar Suhas L (Vanderbilt University)
Kiesling Lynne (Northwestern University)
Klenow Pete (Stanford University)
Koch Paul (University of Kansas)
Kocherlakota Narayana (University of Minnesota)
Koijen Ralph S.J. (University of Chicago)
Kondo Jiro (Northwestern University)
Korteweg Arthur (Stanford University)
Kortum Samuel (University of Chicago)
Krueger Dirk (University of Pennsylvania)
Ledesma Patricia (Northwestern University)
Lee Lung-fei (Ohio State University)
Leuz Christian (University of Chicago)
Levine David I.(UC Berkeley)
Levine David K.(Washington University)
Linnainmaa Juhani (University of Chicago)
Lucas Robert (University of Chicago - Nobel Laureate)
Luttmer Erzo G.J. (University of Minnesota)
Manski Charles F. (Northwestern University)
Martin Ian (Stanford University)
Mayer Christopher (Columbia University)
Mazzeo Michael (Northwestern University)
McDonald Robert (Northwestern University)
Meadow Scott F. (University of Chicago)
Mehra Rajnish (UC Santa Barbara)
Mian Atif (University of Chicago)
Middlebrook Art (University of Chicago)
Miguel Edward (UC Berkeley)
Miravete Eugenio J. (University of Texas at Austin)
Miron Jeffrey (Harvard University)
Moretti Enrico (UC Berkeley)
Moriguchi Chiaki (Northwestern University)
Moro Andrea (Vanderbilt University)
Morse Adair (University of Chicago)
Mortensen Dale T. (Northwestern University)
Mortimer Julie Holland (Harvard University)
Muralidharan Karthik (UC San Diego)
Nevo Aviv (Northwestern University)
Ohanian Lee (UCLA)
Pagliari Joseph (University of Chicago)
Papanikolaou Dimitris (Northwestern University)
Paul Evans (Ohio State University)
Peltzman Sam (University of Chicago)
Perri Fabrizio (University of Minnesota)
Phelan Christopher (University of Minnesota)
Piazzesi Monika (Stanford University)
Piskorski Tomasz (Columbia University)
Rampini Adriano (Duke University)
Reagan Patricia (Ohio State University)
To the Speaker of the House of Representatives and the President pro tempore of the Senate:
As economists, we want to express to Congress our great concern for the plan proposed by Treasury Secretary Paulson to deal with the financial crisis. We are well aware of the difficulty of the current financial situation and we agree with the need for bold action to ensure that the financial system continues to function. We see three fatal pitfalls in the currently proposed plan:
1) Its fairness. The plan is a subsidy to investors at taxpayers’ expense. Investors who took risks to earn profits must also bear the losses. Not every business failure carries systemic risk. The government can ensure a well-functioning financial industry, able to make new loans to creditworthy borrowers, without bailing out particular investors and institutions whose choices proved unwise.
2) Its ambiguity. Neither the mission of the new agency nor its oversight are clear. If taxpayers are to buy illiquid and opaque assets from troubled sellers, the terms, occasions, and methods of such purchases must be crystal clear ahead of time and carefully monitored afterwards.
3) Its long-term effects. If the plan is enacted, its effects will be with us for a generation. For all their recent troubles, America's dynamic and innovative private capital markets have brought the nation unparalleled prosperity. Fundamentally weakening those markets in order to calm short-run disruptions is desperately short-sighted.
For these reasons we ask Congress not to rush, to hold appropriate hearings, and to carefully consider the right course of action, and to wisely determine the future of the financial industry and the U.S. economy for years to come.
Signed (updated 9/24/2008 10:30AM CT)
Acemoglu Daron (Massachussets Institute of Technology)
Adler Michael (Columbia University)
Admati Anat R. (Stanford University)
Alvarez Fernando (University of Chicago)
Andersen Torben (Northwestern University)
Barankay Iwan (University of Pennsylvania)
Barry Brian (University of Chicago)
Beim David (Columbia University)
Berk Jonathan (Stanford University)
Bisin Alberto (New York University)
Bittlingmayer George (University of Kansas)
Boldrin Michele (Washington University)
Brooks Taggert J. (University of Wisconsin)
Brynjolfsson Erik (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Buera Francisco J.(UCLA)
Carroll Christopher (Johns Hopkins University)
Cassar Gavin (University of Pennsylvania)
Chaney Thomas (University of Chicago)
Chari Varadarajan V. (University of Minnesota)
Chauvin Keith W. (University of Kansas)
Chintagunta Pradeep K. (University of Chicago)
Christiano Lawrence J. (Northwestern University)
Cochrane John (University of Chicago)
Coleman John (Duke University)
Constantinides George M. (University of Chicago)
Crain Robert (UC Berkeley)
Culp Christopher (University of Chicago)
De Marzo Peter (Stanford University)
Dubé Jean-Pierre H. (University of Chicago)
Edlin Aaron (UC Berkeley)
Eichenbaum Martin (Northwestern University)
Ely Jeffrey (Northwestern University)
Eraslan Hülya K. K.(Johns Hopkins University)
Faulhaber Gerald (University of Pennsylvania)
Feldmann Sven (University of Melbourne)
Fernandez-Villaverde Jesus (University of Pennsylvania)
Fox Jeremy T. (University of Chicago)
Frank Murray Z.(University of Minnesota)
Fuchs William (University of Chicago)
Fudenberg Drew (Harvard University)
Gabaix Xavier (New York University)
Gao Paul (Notre Dame University)
Garicano Luis (University of Chicago)
Gerakos Joseph J. (University of Chicago)
Gibbs Michael (University of Chicago)
Goettler Ron (University of Chicago)
Goldin Claudia (Harvard University)
Gordon Robert J. (Northwestern University)
Guadalupe Maria (Columbia University)
Hagerty Kathleen (Northwestern University)
Hamada Robert S. (University of Chicago)
Hansen Lars (University of Chicago)
Harris Milton (University of Chicago)
Hart Oliver (Harvard University)
Hazlett Thomas W. (George Mason University)
Heaton John (University of Chicago)
Heckman James (University of Chicago - Nobel Laureate)
Henderson David R. (Hoover Institution)
Henisz, Witold (University of Pennsylvania)
Hertzberg Andrew (Columbia University)
Hite Gailen (Columbia University)
Hitsch Günter J. (University of Chicago)
Hodrick Robert J. (Columbia University)
Hopenhayn Hugo (UCLA)
Hurst Erik (University of Chicago)
Imrohoroglu Ayse (University of Southern California)
Israel Ronen (London Business School)
Jaffee Dwight M. (UC Berkeley)
Jagannathan Ravi (Northwestern University)
Jenter Dirk (Stanford University)
Jones Charles M. (Columbia Business School)
Kaboski Joseph P. (Ohio State University)
Kaplan Ethan (Stockholm University)
Karolyi, Andrew (Ohio State University)
Kashyap Anil (University of Chicago)
Keim Donald B (University of Pennsylvania)
Ketkar Suhas L (Vanderbilt University)
Kiesling Lynne (Northwestern University)
Klenow Pete (Stanford University)
Koch Paul (University of Kansas)
Kocherlakota Narayana (University of Minnesota)
Koijen Ralph S.J. (University of Chicago)
Kondo Jiro (Northwestern University)
Korteweg Arthur (Stanford University)
Kortum Samuel (University of Chicago)
Krueger Dirk (University of Pennsylvania)
Ledesma Patricia (Northwestern University)
Lee Lung-fei (Ohio State University)
Leuz Christian (University of Chicago)
Levine David I.(UC Berkeley)
Levine David K.(Washington University)
Linnainmaa Juhani (University of Chicago)
Lucas Robert (University of Chicago - Nobel Laureate)
Luttmer Erzo G.J. (University of Minnesota)
Manski Charles F. (Northwestern University)
Martin Ian (Stanford University)
Mayer Christopher (Columbia University)
Mazzeo Michael (Northwestern University)
McDonald Robert (Northwestern University)
Meadow Scott F. (University of Chicago)
Mehra Rajnish (UC Santa Barbara)
Mian Atif (University of Chicago)
Middlebrook Art (University of Chicago)
Miguel Edward (UC Berkeley)
Miravete Eugenio J. (University of Texas at Austin)
Miron Jeffrey (Harvard University)
Moretti Enrico (UC Berkeley)
Moriguchi Chiaki (Northwestern University)
Moro Andrea (Vanderbilt University)
Morse Adair (University of Chicago)
Mortensen Dale T. (Northwestern University)
Mortimer Julie Holland (Harvard University)
Muralidharan Karthik (UC San Diego)
Nevo Aviv (Northwestern University)
Ohanian Lee (UCLA)
Pagliari Joseph (University of Chicago)
Papanikolaou Dimitris (Northwestern University)
Paul Evans (Ohio State University)
Peltzman Sam (University of Chicago)
Perri Fabrizio (University of Minnesota)
Phelan Christopher (University of Minnesota)
Piazzesi Monika (Stanford University)
Piskorski Tomasz (Columbia University)
Rampini Adriano (Duke University)
Reagan Patricia (Ohio State University)
推荐一些黑金属或者死亡金属的band吧
一个绿巨人对付整个中国军队有问题么?
居然有人说jiang core时代没有通货膨胀？
发贴日期：
2008-09-20 [ 0人评论过 ]
94，95年的时候每年通货膨胀率28%的，居然都忘记了，cena。
木乃伊3现在只有中文配音版的了？
看来央行现在是要牺牲物价来防止衰退了
发贴日期：
2008-09-15 [ 0人评论过 ]
的确，失业比起物价上涨对人的打击更大一点，这也是通常认为的经济学观点。
滞胀啊滞胀，最不愿意发生的还是发生了。
滞胀啊滞胀，最不愿意发生的还是发生了。
国内的高盛，和哈佛的博士（全奖）TF们会选哪个？
有人看了Hamilton老错气俄伐？
黑皮 E7200 正常的核心电压应该是多少？
发贴日期：
2008-09-06 [ 0人评论过 ]
我的默认只有1.05v，机器经常死机，会不会是核心电压不足导致的？
谁有以前喝的经典饮料“红宝”的图片？
现在的E7200和以前的E6300哪个比较强？
不插内存开机能看到CPU信息吗？
拳击！又一枚金牌！说假的人可以闭嘴了！！
cena我们拳击赢了，又有人说是假的
发贴日期：
2008-08-24 [ 0人评论过 ]
cena，是不是人啊
邹市明打得人家喘不过气
最后肩膀脱臼
邹市明打得人家喘不过气
最后肩膀脱臼